News and views from north Bristol's urban village

Thursday 4 June 2009

Bristol Council Elections: Predicted Results

As polls have closed across Bristol, Trym Tales is pleased to announce its predictions for the results of the city council elections held today, Thursday June 4th.

Actual results will be updated throughout Friday. By the weekend, once all results are announced, readers will be able to make their own assessments about the skill (or lack thereof) of the political science department within Westbury on Trym's leading independent online media outlet. The ward, predicted result and actual result are as follows:



Ashley Green (just) LibDem (Greens 2nd)
Avonmouth Con
Con
Bishopston LibDem
LibDem
Cabot LibDem
LibDem
Clifton Libem
LibDem
Clifton East Con
LibDem
Cotham LibDem
LibDem
Easton LibDem
LibDem
Eastville LibDem
LibDem
Frome Vale Con
Con
Henbury
Con (just) Con
Henleaze LibDem
LibDem
Hillfields LibDem
LibDem
Horfield LibDem
LibDem
Kingsweston LibDem
LibDem
Lawrence Hill Lab
Lab (by maj of 9 votes)
Lockleaze
Respect
LibDem
Redland LibDem
LibDem
Southmead Con
LibDem
St George East BNP
Con
St George West Con
Lab
Stoke Bishop
Con
Con
Westbury-on-Trym Con
Con



So, results in and Trym Tales got 18 of 23 predictions correct. I think Nick Robinson can rest easy in the knowledge that he does not have a serious rival yet.

The story in Bristol seems to be one of LibDem and Conservative gains at the expense of Labour and the failure of the minority parties to see significant electoral breakthroughs despite the public anger at the issue of MP's expenses.

Turnout was also higher than expected.

Full results ward by ward can be found on the City Council web site here.





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